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Stadium Background

ESC Geestemunde vs Aumund-Vegesack

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESC Geestemunde play Aumund-Vegesack in the Oberliga Bremen. Aumund-Vegesack are favorites here. Recently, ESC Geestemunde averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Aumund-Vegesack averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, ESC Geestemunde won 3, Aumund-Vegesack won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for ESC Geestemunde and 1.00 for Aumund-Vegesack. This points to a Aumund-Vegesack double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
ESC Geestemunde
25%
Draws
60%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aumund-Vegesack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • ESC Geestemunde picked up more points recently compared to Aumund-Vegesack.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 23%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs ESC Geestemunde
7:0
Oct 26, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs ESC Geestemunde
2:4
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Aumund-Vegesack
4:1
Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs ESC Geestemunde
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 18 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Aumund-Vegesack

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aumund-Vegesack & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ESC Geestemunde attacking → ← attacking Aumund-Vegesack

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Aumund-Vegesack let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

ESC Geestemunde went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aumund-Vegesack lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 34
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blumenthaler30243395:3575
2Hemelingen302343111:3173
3OSC Bremerhaven30204686:4064
4Eiche Horn30202869:3762
5Brinkumer30165981:5053
6BTS Neustadt301621286:7350
7Union 60 Bremen301531272:6548
8Werder Bremen III301231560:6739
9Oberneuland301061465:5836
10ESC Geestemunde301051556:8135
11Leher301041652:6234
12Aumund-Vegesack301111855:7934
13Vatan Bremen30921949:9129
14Woltmershausen30651943:9023
15Habenhauser30712242:9722
16ATSV Sebaldsbruck30442244:11016