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ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESC Geestemunde host Hemelingen in the Oberliga Bremen. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. ESC Geestemunde have averaged 2.14 scored and 2.93 conceded recently, against Hemelingen's 3.48 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Hemelingen slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:6. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 3.25) point toward Hemelingen. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
ESC Geestemunde
30%
Draws
43%
Hemelingen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hemelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hemelingen come out ahead of ESC Geestemunde on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hemelingen a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hemelingen have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
Hemelingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Hemelingen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2.14 3.48
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen
2:6
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
4:1
Dec 14, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Hemelingen
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
4:1
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs ESC Geestemunde
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 10 / 100
Hemelingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Hemelingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemelingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ESC Geestemunde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hemelingen conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ESC Geestemunde VS Hemelingen
2.5 Goals Scored 3.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ESC Geestemunde

(Home)
09 Oct
Oberneuland
1 : 5
ESC Geestemunde
27 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
3 : 3
Brinkumer
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
Page 1 of 6

Hemelingen

(Away)
11 Oct
Hemelingen
3 : 0
OSC Bremerhaven
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
23 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 6
Hemelingen
20 Sept
Hemelingen
4 : 0
Eiche Horn
13 Sept
Hemelingen
5 : 0
Schwachhausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 9 8 1 0 34:3 25
2 Blumenthaler 9 8 0 1 34:9 24
3 Brinkumer 9 7 1 1 28:9 22
4 OSC Bremerhaven 9 6 1 2 33:9 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 9 5 1 3 27:18 16
6 Vatan Bremen 9 4 1 4 21:19 13
7 Schwachhausen 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 ESC Geestemunde 9 3 3 3 25:25 12
9 Union 60 Bremen 9 3 3 3 18:18 12
10 Eiche Horn 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
11 Grohn 9 3 1 5 13:25 10
12 BTS Neustadt 9 3 0 6 15:28 9
13 Leher 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
14 Werder Bremen III 9 1 1 7 12:28 4
15 Woltmershausen 9 1 1 7 11:34 4
16 Oberneuland 9 0 2 7 8:38 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)