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ESC Geestemunde vs Leher

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 game between ESC Geestemunde and Leher finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ESC Geestemunde
20%
Draws
29%
Leher
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Leher haven't matched ESC Geestemunde's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ESC Geestemunde a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
Leher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Leher
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Leher
3:5
Sep 26, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Leher
3:1
Aug 16, 2023 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 83 / 100
Leher 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Leher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Geestemunde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: ESC Geestemunde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ESC Geestemunde VS Leher
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ESC Geestemunde

(Home)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
23 Aug
Schwachhausen
3 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
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Leher

(Away)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
12 Sept
Blumenthaler
6 : 0
Leher
04 Sept
Leher
4 : 0
Vatan Bremen
28 Aug
OSC Bremerhaven
3 : 0
Leher
21 Aug
Leher
1 : 2
Aumund-Vegesack
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)