Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen game between ESC Geestemunde and Werder Bremen III finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ESC Geestemunde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ESC Geestemunde
20%
Draws
29%
Werder Bremen III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ESC Geestemunde's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Werder Bremen III
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
5:2
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde
5:1
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs ESC Geestemunde
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Werder Bremen III
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 40 / 100
Werder Bremen III 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Werder Bremen III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Werder Bremen III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ESC Geestemunde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ESC Geestemunde VS Werder Bremen III
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ESC Geestemunde

(Home)
27 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
1 : 7
Brinkumer
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
Page 1 of 6

Werder Bremen III

(Away)
25 Sept
Werder Bremen III
1 : 1
Leher
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
06 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 0
Werder Bremen III
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 Brinkumer 8 7 0 1 28:7 21
4 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
8 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
9 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
10 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
11 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
12 ESC Geestemunde 8 2 2 4 18:28 8
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)