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Esch vs Differdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2019/2020
Esch Logo

Esch

0 - 1
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Pereira Q.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Differdange in this Luxembourg Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Esch
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Esch haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Differdange taking it.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Differdange here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%
Differdange Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esch Differdange
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 9 31
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 1.19 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.66 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Esch vs Differdange
0:1
Apr 29, 2018 BGL Ligue
Esch vs Differdange
0:3
Feb 18, 2018 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Esch
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Differdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esch 10 / 100
Differdange 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esch Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esch scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Differdange conceded in 52% of 42 recent games.

Solid form: Esch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esch VS Differdange
0 Goals Scored 1.75
8 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esch

(Home)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 7

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luxembourg City 7
FC Residence Walferdange 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Canach 6
Lintgen 0
Avenir Beggen 0
Ettelbruck 1
Esch 4
Harlange/Tarchamps 2
Koeppchen 1
Kaerjeng 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 5
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
Schifflange 1
Differdange 5
Wiltz 3
Berdenia Berbourg 2
FC Munsbach 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 6
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Echternach 1
Dudelange 6
FC Rodange 91 3
Gasperich 0
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Mondorf 4
Kehlen 2
CS Sanem 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 4
Lorentzweiler 3
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
Union Remich/Bous 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Bettembourg 3
Union Tetange 2
FC Schengen 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 5
Steinfort 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Miniere Lasauvage 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondercange 3
SC Ell 0
FF Norden 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Union Titus Petange 7
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Grevenmacher 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 7
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hostert 4
Rumelange 6
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Red Boys Aspelt 1
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Luxembourg City 1
Hesperange 2
Jeunesse Canach 2
Ettelbruck 0
Esch 4
Kaerjeng 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 2
Differdange 4
Wiltz 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Mondorf 3
Kehlen 1
FC Mamer 0
Lorentzweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 5
Bettembourg 6
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondercange 4
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 5
Hostert 1
Rumelange 0
UNA Strassen 4
1/8-finals
Hesperange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Esch 0
Differdange 1
Wiltz 3
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 4
Mondorf 1
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Bettembourg 0
Victoria Rosport 3
Mondercange 2
Fola 1
Racing Luxembourg 5
UNA Strassen 1
Quarter-finals
Hesperange -
Differdange -
Wiltz -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
Mondercange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -