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Escholzmatt-Marbach vs Iliria Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2021/2022
Sat, Aug 14, 2021
3 - 4
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kaufmann D.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Schopfer J.
55' Event
Andrijasevic O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Iliria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Escholzmatt-Marbach
25%
Draws
35%
Iliria
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Escholzmatt-Marbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Iliria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Iliria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iliria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Escholzmatt-Marbach Clean Sheet 20%
Iliria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Escholzmatt-Marbach Iliria
Matches Played 2 6
Wins 0 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 9 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Swiss Cup
Escholzmatt-Marbach vs Iliria
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Escholzmatt-Marbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Schopfer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azizi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Iliria Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrijasevic O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halimi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Escholzmatt-Marbach 32 / 100
Iliria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Escholzmatt-Marbach Iliria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Escholzmatt-Marbach scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Iliria has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Iliria's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Escholzmatt-Marbach VS Iliria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
9 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 67%
100% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Escholzmatt-Marbach

(Home)
14 Aug
Escholzmatt-Marbach
3 : 4
Iliria
18 Aug
Escholzmatt-Marbach
0 : 14
Bavois

Iliria

(Away)
19 Aug
Iliria
0 : 2
La Chaux-De-Fonds
19 Sept
Iliria
1 : 7
Young Boys
14 Aug
Escholzmatt-Marbach
3 : 4
Iliria
17 Aug
Iliria
1 : 6
Lausanne
18 Sept
Iliria
1 : 4
Schaffhausen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Seuzach 0
Yverdon 12
Stade Nyonnais 0
Wil 1
Vevey 1
Kriens 3
Solothurn 0
Zurich 10
Paradiso 3
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Someo 0
Aarau 7
Genolier-Begnins 1
Bulle 7
Echichens 0
Lausanne 2
Gambarogno - Contone 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Delemont 0
Winterthur 6
Dardania Lausanne 1
Rorschach 2
Schonenwerd-Niedergosgen 0
Basel 7
Saint-Leonard 1
Porrentruy 3
Unterstrass 1
Chiasso 3
Grand-Saconnex 2
Chenois 3
Munsingen 0
St. Gallen 5
Chatel St. Denis 1
Thun 8
FC Widnau 0
Grasshoppers 5
FC Winkeln SG 1
Concordia 7
Amical Saint-Prex 0
Servette 6
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Xamax 6
La Chaux-De-Fonds 1
Lugano 7
Escholzmatt-Marbach 3
Iliria 4
Littau 1
Young Boys 4
Hausen 0
Black Stars 6
Baden 2
Biel 4
Rapperswil-Jona 2
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Bubendorf 0
Sion 3
Bosporus 1
Kickers Luzern 0
SC Binningen 0
Schaffhausen 7
Coffrane 1
Buochs 4
Cham 0
Luzern 1
1/16-finals
Yverdon 3
Wil 0
Kriens 0
Zurich 1
Paradiso 0
Aarau 1
Bulle 2
Lausanne 3
Etoile-Carouge 3
Winterthur 1
Rorschach 0
Basel 3
Porrentruy 0
Chiasso 3
Chenois 2
St. Gallen 7
Thun 1
Grasshoppers 0
Concordia 1
Servette 4
Xamax 0
Lugano 1
Iliria 1
Young Boys 7
Black Stars 1
Biel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 4
Sion 0
Bosporus 0
Schaffhausen 11
Buochs 1
Luzern 2
1/8-finals
Yverdon 3
Zurich 2
Aarau 0
Lausanne 1
Etoile-Carouge 1
Basel 0
Chiasso 1
St. Gallen 2
Thun 4
Servette 1
Lugano 2
Young Boys 1
Biel 1
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Schaffhausen 0
Luzern 2
Quarter-finals
Yverdon 1
Lausanne 0
Etoile-Carouge 1
St. Gallen 2
Thun 3
Lugano 4
Biel 0
Luzern 5
Semi-finals
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Lugano 3
Luzern 2
Final
St. Gallen 1
Lugano 4