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Escuela Meruelo vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 game between Escuela Meruelo and Castro finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Escuela Meruelo
39%
Draws
30%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Escuela Meruelo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Castro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 19%
Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Escuela Meruelo Castro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
4:1
Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
0:5
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Escuela Meruelo 32 / 100
Castro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Escuela Meruelo Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Escuela Meruelo scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Castro conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Escuela Meruelo

(Home)
13 May
Escuela Meruelo
3 : 4
Velarde
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
30 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
1 : 2
Barreda Balompie
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
13 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
0 : 5
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
SD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega38286478:2390
2CD Tropezon38256768:2781
3CD Laredo38219859:2972
4Cayon CD381816449:1870
5Rayo Cantabria381712947:3463
6Guarnizo381891150:4163
7CD Siete Villas381712950:3863
8Barreda Balompie381581557:5253
9UM Escobedo3813121356:4251
10Velarde3813121353:4551
11Textil Escudo381451951:5247
12Castro3812101648:5046
13Bezana3811121543:6845
14Atletico Albericia381352041:5444
15Vimenor3810141459:6144
16Selaya3811111633:5944
17Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)389131644:5440
18CD Revilla388121838:7036
19Escuela Meruelo38672531:7625
20CD Colindres38272923:8513
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)