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Escuela Meruelo vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 game between Escuela Meruelo and Castro finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Escuela Meruelo
30%
Draws
70%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Escuela Meruelo on wins alone.
  • Castro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Castro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 19%
Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Escuela Meruelo Castro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
4:1
Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
0:5
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Escuela Meruelo 10 / 100
Castro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Escuela Meruelo Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Escuela Meruelo scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Castro conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Castro has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Escuela Meruelo

(Home)
13 May
Escuela Meruelo
3 : 4
Velarde
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
30 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
1 : 2
Barreda Balompie
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
Escuela Meruelo
13 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
0 : 5
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 28 6 4 78:23 90
2 CD Tropezon 38 25 6 7 68:27 81
3 CD Laredo 38 21 9 8 59:29 72
4 Cayon CD 38 18 16 4 49:18 70
5 Rayo Cantabria 38 17 12 9 47:34 63
6 Guarnizo 38 18 9 11 50:41 63
7 CD Siete Villas 38 17 12 9 50:38 63
8 Barreda Balompie 38 15 8 15 57:52 53
9 UM Escobedo 38 13 12 13 56:42 51
10 Velarde 38 13 12 13 53:45 51
11 Textil Escudo 38 14 5 19 51:52 47
12 Castro 38 12 10 16 48:50 46
13 Bezana 38 11 12 15 43:68 45
14 Atletico Albericia 38 13 5 20 41:54 44
15 Vimenor 38 10 14 14 59:61 44
16 Selaya 38 11 11 16 33:59 44
17 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 9 13 16 44:54 40
18 CD Revilla 38 8 12 18 38:70 36
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 6 7 25 31:76 25
20 CD Colindres 38 2 7 29 23:85 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)