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Eskhata vs Istaravshan

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eskhata host Istaravshan in the Vysshaya Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Eskhata have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Istaravshan's 0.9 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Eskhata slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Eskhata. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Eskhata
35%
Draws
32%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eskhata come out ahead of Istaravshan on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Eskhata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 15%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskhata Istaravshan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istaravshan
0:0
Mar 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
0:1
May 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istaravshan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskhata 57 / 100
Istaravshan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskhata Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eskhata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Eskhata's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Istaravshan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eskhata VS Istaravshan
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskhata

(Home)
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
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Istaravshan

(Away)
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
26 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 1
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 16 11 4 1 23:5 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 16 10 4 2 22:9 34
3 Khosilot Parkhar 16 9 4 3 32:17 31
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 15 7 3 5 18:17 24
5 Barkchi Hisor 15 6 3 6 22:23 21
6 Khujand 15 5 6 4 14:11 21
7 Vakhsh 16 4 8 4 24:23 20
8 Ravshan Kulob 16 5 4 7 20:19 19
9 Eskhata 16 4 4 8 19:31 16
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 15 2 5 8 23:29 11
12 Istaravshan 16 0 6 10 14:32 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)