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Eskhata vs Regar-TadAZ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eskhata host Regar-TadAZ in the Vysshaya Liga. Eskhata go into this one as the clear favorite. Regar-TadAZ have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Eskhata have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Eskhata have won 2 to Regar-TadAZ's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Eskhata. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Eskhata
30%
Draws
47%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Regar-TadAZ lately — more wins on the board than Eskhata.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 20%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskhata Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Eskhata
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Regar-TadAZ
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Eskhata
1:1
Sep 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
May 3, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Eskhata
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskhata 31 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskhata Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eskhata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eskhata found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Regar-TadAZ let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Eskhata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eskhata VS Regar-TadAZ
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskhata

(Home)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
5 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
6 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)