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Eskhata vs Sardor Tursunzoda Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata Logo

Eskhata

4 - 3
FT
Sardor Tursunzoda Logo

Sardor Tursunzoda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Eskhata and Sardor Tursunzoda finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eskhata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Eskhata
35%
Draws
32%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eskhata come out ahead of Sardor Tursunzoda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Eskhata's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 15%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskhata Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Sardor Tursunzoda
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskhata 35 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskhata Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardor Tursunzoda let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Eskhata's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Eskhata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eskhata VS Sardor Tursunzoda
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskhata

(Home)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 7

Sardor Tursunzoda

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)