Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eskhata vs Vakhsh

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Eskhata and Vakhsh finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vakhsh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Eskhata
35%
Draws
49%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vakhsh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Vakhsh taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 13%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskhata Vakhsh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
4:2
Mar 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Vakhsh
1:2
Jun 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Vakhsh
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Eskhata
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskhata 14 / 100
Vakhsh 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskhata Vakhsh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Eskhata found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Vakhsh conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Eskhata went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eskhata VS Vakhsh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskhata

(Home)
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
13 Jun
Eskhata
1 : 6
Khosilot Parkhar
Page 1 of 6

Vakhsh

(Away)
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
13 Jun
Vakhsh
0 : 2
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 15 10 4 1 22:5 34
2 Regar-TadAZ 15 10 3 2 22:9 33
3 Khosilot Parkhar 15 9 4 2 32:16 31
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 14 6 3 5 17:17 21
5 Khujand 14 5 5 4 14:11 20
6 Ravshan Kulob 15 5 4 6 18:16 19
7 Vakhsh 15 4 7 4 21:20 19
8 Barkchi Hisor 14 5 3 6 18:22 18
9 Eskhata 15 4 4 7 19:30 16
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 15 3 3 9 12:28 12
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 14 2 4 8 20:26 10
12 Istaravshan 15 0 6 9 13:28 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)