Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eskilsminne vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Harlyckan, Helsingborg
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gustafson A.
11'
Kurtulus E.
15' Event
Ljung Hofvendahl C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Eskilsminne and Tvaaker finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eskilsminne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Eskilsminne
20%
Draws
58%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tvaaker carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eskilsminne Clean Sheet 12%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskilsminne Tvaaker
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs Tvaaker
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Eskilsminne
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Eskilsminne
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs Tvaaker
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Eskilsminne vs Tvaaker
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eskilsminne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustafson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ljung Hofvendahl C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiman I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskilsminne 30 / 100
Tvaaker 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskilsminne Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eskilsminne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Eskilsminne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eskilsminne VS Tvaaker
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskilsminne

(Home)
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Laholms
1 : 0
Eskilsminne
05 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Eskilsminne
29 Aug
Eskilsminne
0 : 2
Hassleholms IF
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 23 11 8 4 46:27 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
7 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)