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Esmoriz vs Aliados Lordelo

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
Esmoriz Logo

Esmoriz

1 - 1
FT
Aliados Lordelo Logo

Aliados Lordelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 game between Esmoriz and Aliados Lordelo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Esmoriz
15%
Draws
42%
Aliados Lordelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esmoriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliados Lordelo come out ahead of Esmoriz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esmoriz a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 20%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esmoriz Aliados Lordelo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs Aliados Lordelo
1:1
Dec 5, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Esmoriz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esmoriz 58 / 100
Aliados Lordelo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esmoriz Aliados Lordelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esmoriz found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aliados Lordelo conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Aliados Lordelo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esmoriz VS Aliados Lordelo
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esmoriz

(Home)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Aliados Lordelo

(Away)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)