Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esmoriz vs Atletico Cacem

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esmoriz in this Taça de Portugal 2008/2009 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Esmoriz
15%
Draws
51%
Atletico Cacem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Cacem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Esmoriz have won more games recently than Atletico Cacem.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Esmoriz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Esmoriz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Cacem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esmoriz Atletico Cacem
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 10 3
Draws 11 0
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2008 Taça de Portugal
Esmoriz vs Atletico Cacem
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esmoriz 32 / 100
Atletico Cacem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esmoriz Atletico Cacem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esmoriz's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Cacem conceded in 60% of 5 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Esmoriz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esmoriz VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esmoriz

(Home)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Cacem

(Away)
14 Sept
Esmoriz
2 : 0
Atletico Cacem
30 Aug
Atletico Cacem
1 : 0
GD Tourizense
18 Nov
Atletico Cacem
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Sept
Atletico Cacem
4 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Sept
Atletico Cacem
1 : 0
JS Campinense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica -
TBD -
AD Satao 1
Rebordosa 2
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sintrense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Vitoria FC Pico 2
Arouca 3
Esmoriz 3
Anadia 2
GD Tourizense 0
Atletico Cacem 1
FC Madalena -
TBD -
GD Prado 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril -
TBD -
1º Dezembro 0
GD Braganca 2
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Electrico FC 1
FC Crato 2
Atletico CP 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
SC Mirandela 1
Pinhalnovense 4
Covilha -
TBD -
Unhais da Serra 0
GD Milheiroense 2
FC Lixa 2
AD Oliveirense 1
TBD -
Varzim -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Amares -
Boavista Sao Mateus 2
Nelas 1
SC Espinho 1
Lusitania FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Valdevez 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Messinense 2
SC Praiense 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louletano -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
AD Valecambrense 1
JS Campinense 2
Vieira 1
Oliveira do Douro 0
Moreirense 0
Camacha 1
Freamunde -
TBD -
SC Vianense 0
Merelinense 1
Fiaes 2
Lusitano GC 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 0
Capelense SC 0
Aliados Lordelo 2
Sanjoanense 2
Maritimo SC 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 0
Cova De Piedade 3
Padroense 3
Vilaverdense FC 0
TBD -
Gondomar -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagoa -
TBD -
Leca 1
Chaves 3
SC Angrense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 1
Operario 3
Torreense -
TBD -
AD Pontassolense 3
Oliv. Bairro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Beira Mar -
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade 3
AD Limianos 4
Caldas SC -
TBD -
CD Lousanense 1
Atletico SC 4
Fabril do Barreiro 2
FC Pampilhosa 1
TBD -
CD Portosantense -
Tirsense 2
Penalva do Castelo 1
Monsanto 2
Olivais e Moscavide 3
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Joane 3
SC Pombal 0
Amarante FC 1
Ribeirao 2
GD Peniche 3
AD Fafe 2
AA Avanca 0
GD Sourense 2
Serzedelo 2
SC Vilanovense 1
SC Farense 0
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Boavista -
TBD -
SB Castelo Branco 0
O Elvas CAD 2
Infesta 4
Machico 3
CD Torres Novas 0
AD Lousada 1
Uniao Lamas 1
Aljustrelense 0
Marinhense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Mea -
TBD -
Beira Mar Algarve 0
CF Canical 3
Odivelas FC 5
FC Alpendorada 0
TBD -
Marinhas -
SL Cartaxo 2
Tondela 1
Atalaia do Campo 1
Santana 2
Aves -
TBD -
Igreja Nova 1
AD Penamacorense 2
FC Mae d'Agua 1
Pescadores Caparica 0
Camara de Lobos 1
UD Gandara 3
Penafiel 3
Casa Pia 0
CU Micaelense 0
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Cinfaes -
TBD -
Agueda 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Abrantes -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 0
Paredes 1
Feirense -
TBD -
Silves FC 0
Oriental 1
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carregado 3
Castrense 2
TBD -
Leiria -
Sertanense 1
Tocha 0
CF Fao 1
Mafra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1/64-finals
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica 0
Rebordosa 1
Maritimo -
TBD -
Sintrense 0
Arouca 1
Esmoriz 2
Atletico Cacem 0
FC Madalena 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril 1
GD Braganca 0
Academico Viseu 1
Vizela 2
Portimonense 3
FC Crato 2
Atletico CP 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Covilha 3
GD Milheiroense 0
FC Lixa 0
Varzim 7
BSAD -
TBD -
Mondinense 1
FC Amares 3
Boavista Sao Mateus 2
Lusitania FC 1
TBD -
Naval -
Valdevez 2
Oliveirense 1
Messinense 0
Olhanense 4
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Louletano 0
Gil Vicente 1
U. Madeira 3
JS Campinense 1
Vieira 0
Camacha 1
Freamunde 1
Merelinense 0
Fiaes 0
Santa Clara 1
Trofense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
Aliados Lordelo 1
Sanjoanense 1
Cova De Piedade 0
Padroense 0
Gondomar 3
Braga -
TBD -
Lagoa 0
Chaves 2
SC Angrense 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Operario 2
Torreense 3
Oliv. Bairro 0
TBD -
Academica -
Beira Mar 3
AD Limianos 1
Caldas SC 0
Atletico SC 2
Fabril do Barreiro 1
CD Portosantense 0
Tirsense 0
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
GD Joane 1
Ribeirao 2
GD Peniche 5
GD Sourense 0
Serzedelo 1
Torre De Moncorvo 3
Boavista 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Infesta 0
AD Lousada 2
Uniao Lamas 4
CD Rabo Peixe 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Vila Mea 0
CF Canical 5
Odivelas FC 5
Marinhas 2
SL Cartaxo 0
Santana 7
Aves 3
AD Penamacorense 0
FC Mae d'Agua 2
UD Gandara 3
Penafiel 3
SC Vila Real 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Cinfaes 2
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Abrantes 0
Paredes 3
Feirense 1
Oriental 0
Coimbroes 1
Fatima 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Carregado 0
Leiria 3
Sertanense 3
Mafra 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1/32-finals
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rebordosa 0
Maritimo 0
Arouca 1
Esmoriz 4
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril 0
Vizela 3
Portimonense 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Covilha 1
Varzim 2
BSAD 3
FC Amares 0
Boavista Sao Mateus 0
Naval 1
Valdevez 2
Olhanense 1
Rio Ave 2
Gil Vicente 3
U. Madeira 2
Camacha 1
Freamunde 0
Santa Clara 1
Trofense 1
Aliados Lordelo 0
Sanjoanense 1
Gondomar 2
Braga 1
Chaves 0
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 2
Operario 0
Torreense 0
Academica 2
Beira Mar 3
Atletico SC 0
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Vitoria Setubal 1
Ribeirao 0
GD Peniche 1
Torre De Moncorvo 3
Boavista 1
AD Lousada 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Leixoes 4
CF Canical 1
Odivelas FC 0
Santana 1
Aves 6
UD Gandara 1
Penafiel 0
Benfica 1
Cinfaes 2
Paredes 1
Feirense 1
Fatima 2
Sporting CP 1
Leiria 0
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Pacos Ferreira 1
Arouca 0
Esmoriz 1
Vizela 3
Portimonense 3
Varzim 0
BSAD 2
Naval 3
Valdevez 1
Gil Vicente 0
U. Madeira 0
Santa Clara 2
Trofense 2
Gondomar 0
Braga 0
Nacional 1
Estrela da Amadora 1
Academica 0
Beira Mar 0
Olivais e Moscavide 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Leixoes 3
Santana 0
Aves 0
Benfica 3
Cinfaes 1
Fatima 0
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Pacos Ferreira 4
Vizela 1
Portimonense 0
Naval 3
Valdevez 3
Santa Clara 1
Trofense 2
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 1
Olivais e Moscavide 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Leixoes 1
Benfica 0
Cinfaes 1
FC Porto 4
Quarter-finals
Pacos Ferreira 5
Naval 3
Valdevez 1
Nacional 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Leixoes 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Pacos Ferreira 5
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 2
FC Porto 3
Final
Pacos Ferreira 0
FC Porto 1