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Esmoriz vs GD Tourizense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 game between Esmoriz and GD Tourizense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esmoriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Esmoriz
15%
Draws
51%
GD Tourizense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Tourizense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Tourizense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 20%
GD Tourizense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esmoriz GD Tourizense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs GD Tourizense
2:1
Dec 12, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
GD Tourizense vs Esmoriz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esmoriz 36 / 100
GD Tourizense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esmoriz GD Tourizense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Tourizense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esmoriz scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

GD Tourizense let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Esmoriz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esmoriz VS GD Tourizense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esmoriz

(Home)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

GD Tourizense

(Away)
18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0
GD Tourizense
11 Jun
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0
GD Tourizense
28 May
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
14 May
GD Tourizense
3 : 0
Cinfaes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)