Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESMTK Budapest vs Bekescsaba 1912 II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest play Bekescsaba 1912 II in the NB III - Southeast. ESMTK Budapest are favorites here. Recently, ESMTK Budapest averaged 2.47 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Bekescsaba 1912 II averaged 1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, ESMTK Budapest won 1, Bekescsaba 1912 II won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for ESMTK Budapest and 0.69 for Bekescsaba 1912 II. This points to a ESMTK Budapest double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
ESMTK Budapest
15%
Draws
21%
Bekescsaba 1912 II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest picked up more points recently compared to Bekescsaba 1912 II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 28%
Bekescsaba 1912 II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Bekescsaba 1912 II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.47 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Bekescsaba 1912 II vs ESMTK Budapest
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Bekescsaba 1912 II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Szahl P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Bekescsaba 1912 II Compare

Top Goalscorer Volent R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 63 / 100
Bekescsaba 1912 II 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Bekescsaba 1912 II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick ESMTK Budapest & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ESMTK Budapest attacking → ← attacking Bekescsaba 1912 II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Bekescsaba 1912 II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ESMTK Budapest went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bekescsaba 1912 II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 26
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Monori30207363:3167
2ESMTK Budapest30213670:2466
3Gyulai Termal30205580:2465
4III. Keruleti TVE30187571:3861
5Vasas II301411565:4053
6Csepel301541150:4149
7FC Dabas301261247:4142
8Honved II301191040:3942
9Dunaharaszti MTK301171246:5040
10Hodmezovasarhely301071348:5637
11Szegedi301051546:6235
12BKV Elore30951650:6432
13Szeged-Csanad GA II30781537:5329
14Bekescsaba 1912 II30751830:6126
15Martfui LSE30622226:7517
16Tiszafoldvar30312625:9510