Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Kovacs B.
64' Event
Molnar J.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Ladanyi G.

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest host Hodmezovasarhely in the NB III - Southeast. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. ESMTK Budapest have averaged 2.88 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Hodmezovasarhely's 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, ESMTK Budapest have won 4 to Hodmezovasarhely's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 0.88) point toward ESMTK Budapest. ESMTK Budapest in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ESMTK Budapest
6%
Draws
4%
Hodmezovasarhely
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hodmezovasarhely.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for ESMTK Budapest.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NB III - Southeast provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 68%
Hodmezovasarhely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Hodmezovasarhely
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
4:0
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Hodmezovasarhely vs ESMTK Budapest
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Hodmezovasarhely vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2
May 26, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Hodmezovasarhely
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ladanyi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Hodmezovasarhely Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 95 / 100
Hodmezovasarhely 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Hodmezovasarhely

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Hodmezovasarhely let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

ESMTK Budapest went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hodmezovasarhely lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Hodmezovasarhely
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monori30207363:3167
2ESMTK Budapest30213670:2466
3Gyulai Termal30205580:2465
4III. Keruleti TVE30187571:3861
5Vasas II301411565:4053
6Csepel301541150:4149
7FC Dabas301261247:4142
8Honved II301191040:3942
9Dunaharaszti MTK301171246:5040
10Hodmezovasarhely301071348:5637
11Szegedi301051546:6235
12BKV Elore30951650:6432
13Szeged-Csanad GA II30781537:5329
14Bekescsaba 1912 II30751830:6126
15Martfui LSE30622226:7517
16Tiszafoldvar30312625:9510