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ESMTK Budapest vs Honved II Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Molnar T.
25' Event
Burzi A.
31' Event
Szahl P.

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest in this NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
ESMTK Budapest
20%
Draws
28%
Honved II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest have won more games recently than Honved II.
  • Win probability leans ESMTK Budapest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • ESMTK Budapest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 15%
Honved II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Honved II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.94 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Honved II
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Honved II vs ESMTK Budapest
2:0
May 18, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Honved II
3:2
Nov 20, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Honved II vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2
Mar 31, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Honved II vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Burzi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molnar T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Honved II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 84 / 100
Honved II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Honved II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Honved II conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: ESMTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Honved II
3 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
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Honved II

(Away)
26 Sept
Gyulai Termal
3 : 2
Honved II
20 Sept
Honved II
3 : 0
Ujpest II
05 Sept
Szolnoki MAV
1 : 0
Honved II
30 Aug
Honved II
1 : 1
Monori
26 Aug
Honved II
8 : 1
Szegedi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monori 30 20 7 3 63:31 67
2 ESMTK Budapest 30 21 3 6 70:24 66
3 Gyulai Termal 30 20 5 5 80:24 65
4 III. Keruleti TVE 30 18 7 5 71:38 61
5 Vasas II 30 14 11 5 65:40 53
6 Csepel 30 15 4 11 50:41 49
7 FC Dabas 30 12 6 12 47:41 42
8 Honved II 30 11 9 10 40:39 42
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 11 7 12 46:50 40
10 Hodmezovasarhely 30 10 7 13 48:56 37
11 Szegedi 30 10 5 15 46:62 35
12 BKV Elore 30 9 5 16 50:64 32
13 Szeged-Csanad GA II 30 7 8 15 37:53 29
14 Bekescsaba 1912 II 30 7 5 18 30:61 26
15 Martfui LSE 30 6 2 22 26:75 17
16 Tiszafoldvar 30 3 1 26 25:95 10
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)