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ESMTK Budapest vs Ujpest II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest host Ujpest II in the NB III - Southeast. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. ESMTK Budapest have averaged 2.93 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Ujpest II's 2 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor ESMTK Budapest slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2023, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.50, favoring ESMTK Budapest. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
ESMTK Budapest
20%
Draws
28%
Ujpest II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ESMTK Budapest a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • ESMTK Budapest have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 16%
Ujpest II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Ujpest II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.93 2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 NB III - Centre
ESMTK Budapest vs Ujpest II
1:0
Aug 17, 2022 NB III - Centre
Ujpest II vs ESMTK Budapest
0:2
May 16, 2021 NB III - Centre
ESMTK Budapest vs Ujpest II
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 NB III - Centre
Ujpest II vs ESMTK Budapest
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 84 / 100
Ujpest II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Ujpest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: ESMTK Budapest stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ujpest II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Ujpest II
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
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Ujpest II

(Away)
10 Oct
Gyulai Termal
2 : 1
Ujpest II
03 Oct
Ujpest II
2 : 2
Monori
26 Sept
Ujpest II
2 : 1
Szolnoki MAV
20 Sept
Honved II
3 : 0
Ujpest II
06 Sept
Ujpest II
6 : 1
Szegedi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 11 11 0 0 39:9 33
2 III. Keruleti TVE 11 8 1 2 16:5 25
3 ESMTK Budapest 10 6 3 1 27:10 21
4 Ujpest II 11 5 3 3 28:18 18
5 Vasas II 11 5 2 4 23:12 17
6 Szeged-Csanad GA II 10 4 4 2 19:14 16
7 FC Dabas 11 4 2 5 14:25 14
8 Csepel 11 3 5 3 21:17 14
9 Monori 11 3 5 3 21:19 14
10 Szolnoki MAV 11 3 5 3 24:25 14
11 Bekescsaba 1912 11 3 4 4 16:15 13
12 Honved II 10 3 2 5 18:15 11
13 Sandorfalvi 11 3 1 7 8:28 10
14 Hodmezovasarhely 11 1 5 5 12:23 8
15 BKV Elore 10 1 1 8 7:36 4
16 Szegedi 11 0 3 8 13:35 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)