Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Balogh M.
76' Event
Burzi A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southeast game between ESMTK Budapest and Vasas II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
ESMTK Budapest
20%
Draws
36%
Vasas II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ESMTK Budapest come out ahead of Vasas II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ESMTK Budapest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ESMTK Budapest have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 16%
Vasas II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest Vasas II
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 23 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.97 2.42
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Vasas II vs ESMTK Budapest
0:5
Aug 27, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Vasas II vs ESMTK Budapest
2:4
Aug 11, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Vasas II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasas II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 84 / 100
Vasas II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest Vasas II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

ESMTK Budapest went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vasas II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS Vasas II
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
29 Aug
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
26 Aug
ESMTK Budapest
3 : 0
Sandorfalvi
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Vasas II

(Away)
20 Sept
Vasas II
6 : 0
Csepel
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
30 Aug
Vasas II
3 : 0
III. Keruleti TVE
26 Aug
Gyulai Termal
1 : 0
Vasas II
19 Aug
Vasas II
3 : 0
Honved II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 8 8 0 0 30:3 24
2 III. Keruleti TVE 8 7 0 1 14:3 21
3 ESMTK Budapest 8 4 3 1 17:9 15
4 Ujpest II 8 4 2 2 23:13 14
5 Szeged-Csanad GA II 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
6 Szolnoki MAV 8 3 4 1 19:18 13
7 Csepel 8 3 3 2 19:14 12
8 Monori 8 3 3 2 18:14 12
9 Vasas II 8 3 2 3 18:11 11
10 FC Dabas 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
11 Honved II 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
12 Bekescsaba 1912 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
13 Hodmezovasarhely 8 1 3 4 10:19 6
14 BKV Elore 8 1 1 6 7:29 4
15 Sandorfalvi 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
16 Szegedi 8 0 2 6 11:29 2
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)