Sport Picks
Espaly vs Frejus Saint Raphael
France
Coupe de France 2015/2016 
Match Events
5'
5'
Reynaud P.
40'
40'
Feres P.
55'
55'
Reynaud P.
AI Match Summary
Frejus Saint Raphael in this Coupe de France 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Espaly
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Espaly haven't matched Frejus Saint Raphael's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Frejus Saint Raphael arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Frejus Saint Raphael, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Espaly Clean Sheet 19%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espaly | Frejus Saint Raphael |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 14, 2015 Coupe de France
Espaly vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espaly Compare
Top Goalscorer Feres P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Frejus Saint Raphael Compare
Top Goalscorer Reynaud P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hennion C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espaly 32 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espaly Frejus Saint Raphael
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Espaly's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 6 recent games.
Frejus Saint Raphael let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Espaly remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Espaly
(Home) 15 Jan
Espaly
2 : 4 PSG
20 Dec
Espaly
2 : 1 Dijon
01 Dec
Couzeix-Chaptelat
0 : 3 Espaly
16 Nov
Espaly
1 : 0 Biars-Bretenoux
19 Nov
Feurs
2 : 1 Espaly
Page 1 of 2
15 Jan
Espaly
2 : 4 PSG
20 Dec
Espaly
2 : 1 Dijon
16 Nov
Espaly
1 : 0 Biars-Bretenoux
14 Nov
Espaly
1 : 3 Frejus Saint Raphael
Frejus Saint Raphael
(Away) 22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0 RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1 Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0 Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3 Frejus Saint Raphael
03 Apr
Istres
4 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
21 Mar
Cannes
4 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
07 Mar
St. Maur Lusitanos
1 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Libourne 2
Bourges 18 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Le Havre 0
Douai 0
Yvetot 2
Paris FC 1
CMS Oissel 0
Gonfreville 0
Boulogne 6
Niort 5
La Rochelle 1
La Gacilly 0
Les Herbiers 4
Nimes 1
Frontignan AC 0
Lucon 2
Moulins 3
Villefranche 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
GOAL FC 1
Grenoble 3
Schirrhein 2
Reding 0
Magny 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 3
Red Star 1
Pirae 5
Pontivy 6
Orvault 3
St. Saturnin 1
Paimpol 0
Avranches 2
Rodeo 2
Perpignan 0
Thiers 0
Stade Bordelais 2
Genets 3
Vic Le Comte 0
Stade Balarucois 1
Stade Montois 7
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Vimy 1
Sens 0
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Cholet ASPTT 0
Vertou 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colmar 4
Selongey 1
Clouange 0
Raon L Etape 3
De Volvic 1
Nord 17 0
Bourges 2
Gueret 3
Excelsior 1
Poissy 0
Bretigny Foot 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Concarneau 4
Montgermont 0
Zouasia 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
St. Renan 3
Liffre 2
Change 2
TA Rennes 3
Dunkerque 3
Reims Ste Anne 0
Aubervilliers 2
SC Hazebrouck 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 4
Agouado 0
Auxerre 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orleans 7
Sauveur 1
Golden Star 0
Chambly 1
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quevilly 2
Lens 1
St Ouen 2
Sannois 3
Wasquehal 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Montceau 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 2
Strasbourg 1
Dinsheim 2
Nancy 4
Alfortville 2
L'Etoile 1
Ebersheim 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Sedan 4
Creil 1
Saint-Amand 0
IC Croix 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Pontcharra St Loup 2
Limonest 1
Gieres 0
Annecy 3
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Istres 0
Saint Die 0
Hauts Lyonnais 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beziers 1
Sete 0
Espaly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Besancon RC 2
Jura Sud 1
Noisy Le Sec 1
Golden Lion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 4
Iracoubo 0
Amiens SC 1
Marck 2
Brest 3
Montagnarde 0
Fougeres 0
Stade Briochin 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Versailles 0
Balagne Rousse 3
Mainvilliers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
SU Dives 0
Viry-Chatillon 1
Saint Nazaire 2
CPB Brequigny 3
Rostrenen 0
La Suze 1
Laval 2
Valenciennes 1
Creteil 0
Borgo FC (Inactive) 0
Beauvais 1
Dijon 9
Veyle Saone 0
Schiltigheim 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 2
Moulien 1
APM Metz 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Montelimar 1
Echirolles FC 0
Berre SP 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 10
Panazol 0
Blagnac 1
Clermont 3
Montauban 4
Toulouse Saint 2
Colomiers 1
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 2
Bethune 0
Olympique Marcquois 3
Maubeuge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besancon FC 4
Chassieu Decines 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Epernay 3
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
Libourne 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Yvetot 1
Paris FC 1
Boulogne 3
Niort 3
Les Herbiers 1
Nimes 0
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 0
Schirrhein 1
Sarre Union 6
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
Orvault 1
Avranches 5
Rodeo 1
Stade Bordelais 0
Genets 1
Stade Montois 2
Guingamp -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 1
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 3
Vertou 2
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Colmar 1
Raon L Etape 2
De Volvic 4
Gueret 2
Excelsior 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
St. Renan 0
TA Rennes 4
Dunkerque 1
SC Hazebrouck 0
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
Orleans 3
Chambly 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
Quevilly 1
Sannois 2
Wasquehal 2
Metz 1
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 1
Nancy 0
Alfortville 0
A.S. Pagny 1
Sedan 2
IC Croix 1
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontcharra St Loup 0
Annecy 5
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Beziers 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Besancon RC 2
Golden Lion 1
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 2
Marck 0
Brest 0
Stade Briochin 2
Blanc Mesnil 3
Mainvilliers 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
Saint Nazaire 0
CPB Brequigny 1
Laval 4
Valenciennes 2
Beauvais 1
Dijon 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 3
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 1
Clermont 0
Montauban 0
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 1
Maubeuge 0
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Besancon FC 1
Epernay 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Lorient 3
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Boulogne 3
Niort 2
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Sarre Union 2
Saint-Malo 2
Avranches 1
Rodeo 0
Stade Montois 1
Guingamp 4
Chantilly 0
Sainte-Marienne 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Raon L Etape 1
De Volvic 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 3
TA Rennes 0
Dunkerque 3
Troyes 4
Lyon 7
Limoges 0
Reims 1
Chambly 4
Toulouse 5
Sannois 0
Wasquehal 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 2
A.S. Pagny 0
Sedan 0
Bastia 2
Thonon-Evian 4
Annecy 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 2
Monaco 10
Bordeaux 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Besancon RC 1
Angers 3
Mantes 2
Stade Briochin 0
Blanc Mesnil 0
Nantes 2
Granville 2
Laval 1
Valenciennes 0
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 3
Nice 2
Mulhouse 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
AS Muret 0
Amiens AC 0
Lille 1
Montpellier 1
Epernay 0
Caen 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Lorient 3
Boulogne 1
Niort 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 1
Stade Montois 0
Guingamp 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
St Etienne 2
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 1
Troyes 3
Lyon 2
Chambly 0
Toulouse 1
PSG 2
Sochaux 2
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 1
Monaco 3
Bordeaux 2
Angers 1
Mantes 0
Nantes 1
Granville 3
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
Lille 1
Montpellier 0
Marseille 2
1/8-finals
Lorient 4
Sarre Union 0
Saint-Malo 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Troyes 1
Lyon 0
PSG 3
Sochaux 2
Monaco 1
Bordeaux 3
Nantes 4
Granville 1
Bourg Peronnas 0
Trelissac 0
Marseille 2
Quarter-finals
Lorient 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
St Etienne 1
PSG 3
Sochaux 3
Nantes 2
Granville 0
Marseille 1
Semi-finals
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 0
Marseille 1
Final
PSG 4
Marseille 2
