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Espanol Alquian vs El Palo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espanol Alquian play El Palo in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016. El Palo are favorites here. Recently, Espanol Alquian averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. El Palo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Espanol Alquian won 0, El Palo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2016 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Espanol Alquian and 0.93 for El Palo. This points to a El Palo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Espanol Alquian
6%
Draws
90%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: El Palo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • El Palo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Espanol Alquian.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for El Palo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espanol Alquian El Palo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 29 18
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs El Palo
0:3
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Espanol Alquian
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espanol Alquian 10 / 100
El Palo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espanol Alquian El Palo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espanol Alquian scored in 7% of their last 30 games.

El Palo let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Espanol Alquian went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

El Palo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mancha38275673:2586
2Malaga B38268496:3486
3Loja38249568:2681
4Ejido38247777:3279
5El Palo382113469:2476
6Antequera38218967:3371
7Guadix382241268:4670
8Velez381811955:3365
9Huetor Tajar3816111160:3759
10Martos381751658:5556
11UD San Pedro381461855:6748
12Los Villares3811111646:5744
13Rincon3810111748:5941
14Alhaurin381242242:6740
15Atarfe Industrial38992045:7136
16Maracena388121848:6936
17River Melilla38952444:8832
18Comarca Del Marmol387102130:6231
19CD Ronda38803032:9724
20Espanol Alquian38113611:1104