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Espanyol vs Elche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Redondo Solari F.
22'
Nino F.
26' Event
Nino F.
Assist: Revivo R.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Espanyol and Elche finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Espanyol
30%
Draws
47%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elche come out ahead of Espanyol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elche a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 14%
Elche Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espanyol Elche
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Elche
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 LaLiga
Elche vs Espanyol
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Elche
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 LaLiga2
Elche vs Espanyol
2:2
Nov 18, 2023 LaLiga2
Espanyol vs Elche
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espanyol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Nino F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valera G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espanyol 23 / 100
Elche 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espanyol Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espanyol found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Elche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Espanyol stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espanyol VS Elche
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Espanyol

(Home)
30 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 1
Espanyol
27 Oct
Sestao
4 : 3
Espanyol
24 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Espanyol
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
Page 1 of 6

Elche

(Away)
01 Nov
Elche
0 : 1
Valencia
27 Oct
Pinatar
1 : 3
Elche
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3
Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)