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Espanyol vs Pau

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bauza R.
43' Event
Garcia K.
73' Event
Cabrera L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Espanyol and Pau finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espanyol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Espanyol
30%
Draws
39%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 20%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espanyol Pau
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Espanyol vs Pau
4:0
Sep 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Espanyol vs Pau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espanyol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bauza R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espanyol 32 / 100
Pau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espanyol Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Espanyol scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pau let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Espanyol stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espanyol VS Pau
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espanyol

(Home)
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
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Pau

(Away)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
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