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Esperanca de Lagos vs Armacenenses Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Esperanca de Lagos Logo

Esperanca de Lagos

Sat, Apr 3, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Armacenenses Logo

Armacenenses

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esperanca de Lagos host Armacenenses in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. Armacenenses are expected to control this from the start. Armacenenses have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Esperanca de Lagos have conceded 1.56 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Esperanca de Lagos have won 0 to Armacenenses's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Armacenenses. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esperanca de Lagos
25%
Draws
35%
Armacenenses
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Esperanca de Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esperanca de Lagos come out ahead of Armacenenses on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Armacenenses's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 20%
Armacenenses Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Armacenenses
Matches Played 34 10
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Esperanca de Lagos vs Armacenenses
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Armacenenses vs Esperanca de Lagos
0:0
Apr 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Armacenenses vs Esperanca de Lagos
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Armacenenses
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 12 / 100
Armacenenses 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Armacenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armacenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca de Lagos's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.25 goals per match.

Esperanca de Lagos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca de Lagos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 7

Armacenenses

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga B 22 17 4 1 61:12 55
2 Merelinense 22 15 3 4 34:13 48
3 CDC Montalegre 22 10 8 4 36:24 38
4 SC Mirandela 22 9 8 5 24:16 35
5 Maria de Fonte 22 9 5 8 30:29 32
6 SC Vianense 22 9 5 8 26:28 32
7 Vilaverdense FC 22 7 7 8 28:30 28
8 Pedras Salgadas 22 6 8 8 19:23 26
9 Vidago 22 6 5 11 27:36 23
10 GD Braganca 22 4 8 10 16:25 20
11 Cerveira 22 3 6 13 11:27 15
12 Aguia Vimioso 22 1 5 16 12:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Mondinense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tirsense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 AD Fafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Felgueiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Brito 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sao Martinho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Rio Ave B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Berco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Pevidem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gondomar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Trofense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Coimbroes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Paredes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Amarante FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Camara de Lobos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 SC Salgueiros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 SC Vila Real 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Maritimo B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Pedras Rubras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olhanense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Juv. Evora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Louletano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Aljustrelense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Esperanca de Lagos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Moura AC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Lusitano GC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Amora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Moncarapachense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Armacenenses 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)