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Esperanca de Lagos vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Esperanca de Lagos and Vasco da Gama Vidigueira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esperanca de Lagos
6%
Draws
4%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esperanca de Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama Vidigueira haven't matched Esperanca de Lagos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Esperanca de Lagos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Esperanca de Lagos
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 95 / 100
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Esperanca de Lagos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
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Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

(Away)
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5
Louletano
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
15 Mar
Malveira
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico CP26157443:2252
2Lusitano GC26156535:2251
3Juv. Evora26137637:1646
4CD Rabo Peixe26136733:1945
5Imortal26912531:2239
6Fabril do Barreiro26116931:2639
7Vasco da Gama Vidigueira26109737:3339
8Serpa261061044:3636
9Oriental Dragon261061035:3636
10SC Praiense26971031:3234
11Esperanca de Lagos26710928:3831
12SC Angrense26451717:4617
13Olhanense26521918:5017
14Ferreiras26371617:3916
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)