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Esperanca vs FC Santa Coloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperanca host FC Santa Coloma in the Primera Divisió. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Santa Coloma have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Esperanca have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor FC Santa Coloma slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.19, favoring FC Santa Coloma. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Esperanca
15%
Draws
40%
FC Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Santa Coloma lately — more wins on the board than Esperanca.
  • Esperanca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Santa Coloma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 20%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 6 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.08 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs FC Santa Coloma
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 40 / 100
FC Santa Coloma 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca FC Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Esperanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Esperanca scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Santa Coloma conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS FC Santa Coloma
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

FC Santa Coloma

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1 : 3
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Inter Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)