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Esperance Tunis vs Asswehly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Champions League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Esperance Tunis have averaged 1.54 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Asswehly's 1.85 scored and 0.48 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.70 vs 0.99, favoring Asswehly. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Esperance Tunis
15%
Draws
44%
Asswehly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Asswehly have won more games recently than Esperance Tunis.
  • Model gives Esperance Tunis a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Asswehly arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Asswehly
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.54 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 42 / 100
Asswehly 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Asswehly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperance Tunis found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Esperance Tunis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Asswehly conceded in 41% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS Asswehly
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.14
50% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
10 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Olympique Beja
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

Asswehly

(Away)
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 0
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA 0
Young Africans 4
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR 0
Zamalek 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 1
Sidama Bunna -
Al Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al Merreikh -
Mazembe 0
Club Africain 0