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Esperance Tunis vs Monastir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis host Monastir in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monastir have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Esperance Tunis have conceded 0.73 and scored 1.7. Head-to-head, Esperance Tunis have won 2 to Monastir's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.15) point toward Esperance Tunis. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esperance Tunis
30%
Draws
30%
Monastir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Esperance Tunis's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
Monastir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Monastir
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Esperance Tunis
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Monastir
1:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Monastir
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Esperance Tunis
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Monastir
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 58 / 100
Monastir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Monastir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperance Tunis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperance Tunis's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Esperance Tunis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Monastir has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS Monastir
1.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
10 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Olympique Beja
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
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Monastir

(Away)
10 Oct
CA Bizertin
0 : 0
Monastir
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)