Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Espigao vs Vilhena

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Espigao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Espigao
20%
Draws
16%
Vilhena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Espigao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espigao come out ahead of Vilhena on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Espigao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Espigao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Espigao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Espigao Clean Sheet 20%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espigao Vilhena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.8 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2013 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
3:1
Apr 7, 2013 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Vilhena
1:0
Apr 28, 2012 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
2:2
Mar 26, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Vilhena
1:1
Jun 20, 2011 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espigao 85 / 100
Vilhena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espigao Vilhena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espigao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espigao scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vilhena conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Vilhena's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilhena
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espigao

(Home)
10 May
Vilhena
3 : 1
Espigao
01 May
Espigao
1 : 0
Ji-Parana
29 Apr
Genus
2 : 2
Espigao
21 Apr
Rolim de Moura
2 : 1
Espigao
14 Apr
Espigao
2 : 4
Pimentense
Page 1 of 6

Vilhena

(Away)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ariquemes FC 4
Rolim de Moura 3
Espigao 1
Vilhena 2
Final
Ariquemes FC 4
Vilhena 5