Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Assidi H.
66'
66'
Kanzari S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Jerba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- ES Jerba have won more games recently than Espoir Rogba.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on ES Jerba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 13%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espoir Rogba | ES Jerba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs ES Jerba
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Espoir Rogba
0:0
May 5, 2024 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs ES Jerba
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Espoir Rogba
0:0
May 7, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Espoir Rogba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espoir Rogba Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanzari S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Assidi H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
ES Jerba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espoir Rogba ES Jerba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ES Jerba has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Espoir Rogba scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: ES Jerba has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Espoir Rogba VS ES Jerba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Espoir Rogba
(Home) 23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
19 Apr
Espoir Rogba
1 : 5 PS Sakiet Eddaier
15 Mar
Espoir Rogba
3 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
ES Jerba
(Away) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
12 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 ES Jerba
01 Mar
Espoir Rogba
1 : 1 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
