Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025

JS Kairouan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Espoir Rogba play JS Kairouan in the Ligue 2 2024/2025. JS Kairouan are favorites here. Recently, Espoir Rogba averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. JS Kairouan averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Espoir Rogba won 0, JS Kairouan won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Espoir Rogba and 0.74 for JS Kairouan. This points to a JS Kairouan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Espoir Rogba

19%

Draws

60%

JS Kairouan

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: JS Kairouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Espoir Rogba picked up more points recently compared to JS Kairouan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 27%

JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Espoir Rogba	JS Kairouan
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	21	18
Goals Scored	0.73	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Ligue 2

JS Kairouan vs Espoir Rogba

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Dec 25, 2024 Ligue 2

Espoir Rogba vs JS Kairouan

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Apr 30, 2023 Ligue 2

Espoir Rogba vs JS Kairouan

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Dec 10, 2022 Ligue 2

JS Kairouan vs Espoir Rogba

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espoir Rogba Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

JS Kairouan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Charnia A. M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Troudi I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Rogba 24 / 100

JS Kairouan 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Espoir Rogba JS Kairouan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JS Kairouan Win (2)

Secondary Pick JS Kairouan & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Espoir Rogba attacking → ← attacking JS Kairouan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Rogba scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

JS Kairouan let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Espoir Rogba went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

JS Kairouan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Marsa	26	15	8	3	40:17	53
2	Megrine	26	15	7	4	49:23	52
3	Jendouba Sport	26	14	7	5	38:19	49
4	Hamam-Sousse	26	8	12	6	36:28	36
5	Korba	26	9	9	8	22:28	36
6	Hammam-Lif	26	8	10	8	25:26	34
7	Msaken	26	7	12	7	18:17	33
8	Ariana	26	10	3	13	33:33	33
9	Kalaa	26	8	7	11	30:34	31
10	EM Mahdia	26	9	4	13	26:37	31
11	Moknine	26	7	9	10	27:30	30
12	Menzel Bourguiba	26	7	9	10	18:27	30
13	Oued Ellil	26	6	9	11	23:32	27
14	Rades	26	2	8	16	16:50	14

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	JS Kairouan	26	15	9	2	30:11	54
2	Kasserine	26	16	5	5	36:17	53
3	Kerkennah	26	12	8	6	36:21	44
4	Sfax Railways	26	12	8	6	35:22	44
5	PS Sakiet Eddaier	26	13	5	8	32:23	44
6	BS Bouhajla	26	9	6	11	21:22	33
7	Redeyef	26	10	3	13	23:25	33
8	Djelma	26	9	5	12	26:26	32
9	Sidi Bouzid	26	8	8	10	27:28	32
10	Chebba	26	9	5	12	24:29	32
11	Stade Gabesien	26	8	6	12	13:23	30
12	AS Agareb	26	7	9	10	23:35	30
13	ES Jerba	26	6	8	12	15:24	26
14	Espoir Rogba	26	3	5	18	19:54	13