Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Kdiri R.
27'
27'
Abdelli R.
34'
34'
Abdelli R.
AI Match Summary
Kasserine in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kasserine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kasserine lately — more wins on the board than Espoir Rogba.
- Kasserine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 20%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espoir Rogba | Kasserine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Kasserine
2:7
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Espoir Rogba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espoir Rogba Compare
Top Goalscorer Kdiri R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Kasserine Compare
Top Goalscorer Achouri Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Abdelli R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
Kasserine 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espoir Rogba Kasserine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kasserine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Kasserine has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Espoir Rogba's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kasserine's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kasserine
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Espoir Rogba
(Home) 23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
19 Apr
Espoir Rogba
1 : 5 PS Sakiet Eddaier
15 Mar
Espoir Rogba
3 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
Kasserine
(Away) 27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2 Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2 Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Mar
Kalaa
0 : 4 Kasserine
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
