Sport Picks
Espoir Rogba vs Stade Gabesien Prediction & H2H Stats
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2024/2025 
Match Events
24'
24'
Khaoui A.
55'
55'
Dinari Y.
59'
59'
Marzougui H.
AI Match Summary
Espoir Rogba in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Espoir Rogba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Gabesien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stade Gabesien lately — more wins on the board than Espoir Rogba.
- Stade Gabesien are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 15%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espoir Rogba | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 3 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Stade Gabesien
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Espoir Rogba
1:1
Jun 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Stade Gabesien
1:3
Dec 28, 2023 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Espoir Rogba
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espoir Rogba Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzougui H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bouchniba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Khaoui A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rhouma B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
Stade Gabesien 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espoir Rogba Stade Gabesien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Espoir Rogba found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Stade Gabesien has conceded goals in 56% of their last 36 outings.
Stade Gabesien lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Stade Gabesien
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Espoir Rogba
(Home) 23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
19 Apr
Espoir Rogba
1 : 5 PS Sakiet Eddaier
15 Mar
Espoir Rogba
3 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
Stade Gabesien
(Away) 27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
