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Espoir Savalou vs Buffles du Borgou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espoir Savalou host Buffles du Borgou in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Espoir Savalou at 0.97 goals for, 1.03 against; Buffles du Borgou at 1 for, 0.69 against. Past meetings favor Espoir Savalou slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Buffles du Borgou. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Espoir Savalou
35%
Draws
45%
Buffles du Borgou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buffles du Borgou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Espoir Savalou have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Buffles du Borgou are scoring more at 1.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Buffles du Borgou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Espoir Savalou Clean Sheet 18%
Buffles du Borgou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Savalou Buffles du Borgou
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ligue 1
Buffles du Borgou vs Espoir Savalou
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Buffles du Borgou
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Buffles du Borgou vs Espoir Savalou
2:1
Nov 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Buffles du Borgou
0:0
May 18, 2022 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Buffles du Borgou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Savalou 23 / 100
Buffles du Borgou 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Savalou Buffles du Borgou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buffles du Borgou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Savalou scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Espoir Savalou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Buffles du Borgou let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Espoir Savalou VS Buffles du Borgou
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Savalou

(Home)
03 Oct
Pantheres FC
2 : 0
Espoir Savalou
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
20 Jun
AS Cotonou
1 : 1
Espoir Savalou
13 Jun
Espoir Savalou
2 : 1
Hodio
06 Jun
Krake
2 : 2
Espoir Savalou
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Buffles du Borgou

(Away)
03 Oct
Loto
0 : 2
Buffles du Borgou
27 Sept
Buffles du Borgou
3 : 1
Ayema
20 Jun
Dragons
1 : 1
Buffles du Borgou
13 Jun
Buffles du Borgou
1 : 1
Bani Ganse
06 Jun
Damissa
0 : 2
Buffles du Borgou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buffles du Borgou 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 ASPAC 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Cavaliers 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
4 Hodio 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 Bani Ganse 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Pantheres FC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Krake 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 ASVO 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Ayema 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
10 Loto 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 AS Cotonou 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Djeffa 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Sobemap 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Damissa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Coton FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Dragons 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Espoir Savalou 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Dynamo Abomey 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)