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Stadium Background

Espoir Savalou vs Dragons

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Espoir Savalou and Dragons finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir Savalou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Espoir Savalou
30%
Draws
23%
Dragons
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Espoir Savalou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Espoir Savalou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Espoir Savalou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Espoir Savalou Clean Sheet 20%
Dragons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Savalou Dragons
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Dragons
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Dragons vs Espoir Savalou
1:0
May 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Dragons
3:0
Apr 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Dragons vs Espoir Savalou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Savalou 67 / 100
Dragons 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Savalou Dragons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espoir Savalou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Savalou's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dragons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Espoir Savalou remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Espoir Savalou VS Dragons
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Savalou

(Home)
20 Jun
AS Cotonou
1 : 1
Espoir Savalou
13 Jun
Espoir Savalou
2 : 1
Hodio
06 Jun
Krake
2 : 2
Espoir Savalou
30 May
Buffles du Borgou
2 : 3
Espoir Savalou
22 May
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
Ayema
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Dragons

(Away)
20 Jun
Dragons
1 : 1
Buffles du Borgou
13 Jun
Cavaliers
2 : 1
Dragons
07 Jun
Dragons
1 : 0
Ayema
30 May
Coton FC
3 : 1
Dragons
22 May
Dragons
0 : 2
Loto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobemap 34 20 7 7 33:19 67
2 Coton FC 34 17 11 6 41:22 62
3 ASPAC 34 16 12 6 47:23 60
4 Loto 34 17 7 10 39:23 58
5 Buffles du Borgou 34 13 12 9 33:23 51
6 Dynamo Abomey 34 12 13 9 26:24 49
7 Espoir Savalou 34 13 10 11 33:34 49
8 AS Cotonou 34 11 14 9 25:20 47
9 Damissa 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
10 Hodio 34 10 13 11 37:33 43
11 ASVO 34 11 9 14 28:31 42
12 Ayema 34 9 13 12 19:20 40
13 Bani Ganse 34 8 15 11 27:31 39
14 Krake 34 8 15 11 33:38 39
15 Dragons 34 9 10 15 31:45 37
16 Cavaliers 34 8 12 14 28:37 36
17 JS Pob 34 7 14 13 31:36 35
18 Dadje 34 3 6 25 25:76 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)