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Espoir Savalou vs Sobemap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espoir Savalou host Sobemap in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Sobemap have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Espoir Savalou have conceded 1 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Espoir Savalou slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.13, favoring Sobemap. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Espoir Savalou
35%
Draws
24%
Sobemap
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Espoir Savalou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Espoir Savalou haven't matched Sobemap's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Espoir Savalou's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Espoir Savalou Clean Sheet 20%
Sobemap Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Savalou Sobemap
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 1 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Sobemap
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou
5:1
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Sobemap
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Savalou 42 / 100
Sobemap 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Savalou Sobemap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Espoir Savalou found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Espoir Savalou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sobemap has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Espoir Savalou VS Sobemap
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Savalou

(Home)
03 Oct
Pantheres FC
2 : 0
Espoir Savalou
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
20 Jun
AS Cotonou
1 : 1
Espoir Savalou
13 Jun
Espoir Savalou
2 : 1
Hodio
06 Jun
Krake
2 : 2
Espoir Savalou
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Sobemap

(Away)
04 Oct
Sobemap
1 : 1
Hodio
26 Sept
Bani Ganse
1 : 1
Sobemap
11 Sept
Sobemap
1 : 2
Rangers International
06 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 1
Sobemap
20 Jun
Bani Ganse
1 : 0
Sobemap
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buffles du Borgou 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 ASPAC 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Cavaliers 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
4 Hodio 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 Bani Ganse 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Pantheres FC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Krake 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 ASVO 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Ayema 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
10 Loto 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 AS Cotonou 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Djeffa 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Sobemap 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Damissa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Coton FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Dragons 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Espoir Savalou 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Dynamo Abomey 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)