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Espoir vs Douanes Niamey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espoir host Douanes Niamey in the Super Ligue. Little to choose between these two on current form. Douanes Niamey have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Espoir have conceded 1 and scored 1.06. Past meetings favor Douanes Niamey slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.44 - 1.56) back Douanes Niamey to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Espoir
30%
Draws
39%
Douanes Niamey
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douanes Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douanes Niamey come out ahead of Espoir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Espoir's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Espoir Clean Sheet 15%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Douanes Niamey
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Douanes Niamey
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Mar 10, 2024 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 35 / 100
Douanes Niamey 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Douanes Niamey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Douanes Niamey conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Espoir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS Douanes Niamey
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir

(Home)
04 Oct
Espoir
1 : 0
Nigelec
27 Sept
AS UAM
1 : 1
Espoir
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
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Douanes Niamey

(Away)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
9 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)