Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Espoir vs Douanes Niamey

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espoir play Douanes Niamey in the Super Ligue. It looks like a close match. Recently, Espoir averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Douanes Niamey averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Espoir won 0, Douanes Niamey won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Espoir and 1.38 for Douanes Niamey. This points to a Douanes Niamey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Espoir
35%
Draws
38%
Douanes Niamey
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Douanes Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Espoir picked up more points recently compared to Douanes Niamey.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Espoir Clean Sheet 17%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Douanes Niamey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Douanes Niamey
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Mar 10, 2024 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Espoir
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 28 / 100
Douanes Niamey 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Douanes Niamey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Douanes Niamey or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Espoir attacking → ← attacking Douanes Niamey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Douanes Niamey let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Espoir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Douanes Niamey lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 47
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75