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Espoir vs US Gendarmerie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between Espoir and US Gendarmerie finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Gendarmerie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Espoir
15%
Draws
67%
US Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • US Gendarmerie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Espoir Clean Sheet 12%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir US Gendarmerie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1 1.66
Goals Conceded 1 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs US Gendarmerie
0:2
May 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs US Gendarmerie
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Espoir
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Espoir
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super Ligue
Espoir vs US Gendarmerie
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 10 / 100
US Gendarmerie 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir US Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

US Gendarmerie let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Espoir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS US Gendarmerie
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir

(Home)
04 Oct
Espoir
1 : 0
Nigelec
27 Sept
AS UAM
1 : 1
Espoir
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
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US Gendarmerie

(Away)
04 Oct
JS Tahoua
1 : 2
US Gendarmerie
27 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 1
US Gendarmerie
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
9 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)