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Esporles vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esporles play Santanyi in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. Santanyi are favorites here. Recently, Esporles averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Santanyi averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Esporles won 1, Santanyi won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 20, 2021 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Esporles and 1.30 for Santanyi. This points to a Santanyi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Esporles
21%
Draws
66%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esporles picked up more points recently compared to Santanyi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Esporles Clean Sheet 19%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporles Santanyi
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 1 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Santanyi
1:4
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Esporles
3:0
Apr 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Santanyi
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Esporles
2:1
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Esporles
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 16 / 100
Santanyi 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporles Santanyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Santanyi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esporles attacking → ← attacking Santanyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Santanyi let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Esporles went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santanyi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SD Ibiza20135238:1144
2Andratx20142435:1744
3Constancia20105524:1435
4Manacor2097426:2034
5Portmany2093829:2630
6Collerense2085728:2629
7Soller2065921:3623
8Cardassar2057820:2822
9Felanitx20541129:3219
10Ferriolense20341314:3213
11Genova20251319:4111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Platges de Calvia20136131:1345
2PE Sant Jordi20125333:1741
3Formentera20123536:2039
4Mallorca B20115434:1038
5Santanyi20112723:1235
6El Espinar Sant Rafel2057825:2422
7Llosetense20641017:2822
8Alcudia2056917:3221
9Santa Catalina Atletico20451112:3017
10Binissalem2029917:2415
11Esporles20141515:507