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Esporles vs Soller

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Esporles and Soller finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soller.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Esporles
20%
Draws
64%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Esporles haven't matched Soller's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Esporles Clean Sheet 20%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporles Soller
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 0.7 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Soller
1:3
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Esporles
1:0
Feb 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Soller
1:1
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Esporles
1:0
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Soller
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 36 / 100
Soller 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporles Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Soller conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Soller registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Soller
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporles

(Home)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
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