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Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Sao Gabriel MS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
30%
Draws
23%
Sao Gabriel MS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Esporte Clube Taveiropolis have won more games recently than Sao Gabriel MS.
  • Esporte Clube Taveiropolis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Sao Gabriel MS
Matches Played 17 17
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Sao Gabriel MS
2:2
Oct 1, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Sao Gabriel MS
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 39 / 100
Sao Gabriel MS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Sao Gabriel MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Gabriel MS conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Sao Gabriel MS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis VS Sao Gabriel MS
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
17 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 3
7 de Setembro
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Sao Gabriel MS

(Away)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2027 (Main)