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Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Sao Gabriel MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Esporte Clube Taveiropolis and Sao Gabriel MS finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esporte Clube Taveiropolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
20%
Draws
38%
Sao Gabriel MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Esporte Clube Taveiropolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Esporte Clube Taveiropolis's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Sao Gabriel MS
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 4 2
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Sao Gabriel MS
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 41 / 100
Sao Gabriel MS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Sao Gabriel MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gabriel MS let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Esporte Clube Taveiropolis scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

Difficult form: Sao Gabriel MS registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis VS Sao Gabriel MS
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

(Home)
17 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 3
7 de Setembro
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
29 Jun
Uniao ABC
0 : 1
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
22 Jun
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1 : 2
Misto
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Sao Gabriel MS

(Away)
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
27 Jun
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
21 Jun
Sao Gabriel MS
0 : 2
Uniao ABC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205
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