Sport Picks

Brazil

Cearense 3 2025

Guarany SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esporte Limoeiro play Guarany SC in the Cearense 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esporte Limoeiro averaged 0.71 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Guarany SC averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Esporte Limoeiro won 0, Guarany SC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 2, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.47 for Esporte Limoeiro and 1.07 for Guarany SC. This points to a Guarany SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Esporte Limoeiro

29%

Draws

40%

Guarany SC

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Esporte Limoeiro picked up more points recently compared to Guarany SC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.47 vs 1.07 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 22%

Guarany SC Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Esporte Limoeiro	Guarany SC
Matches Played	14	17
Wins	4	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	0.71	1.12
Goals Conceded	0.93	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	0.20	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.40	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Cearense 3

Esporte Limoeiro vs Guarany SC

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jun 28, 2025 Cearense 3

Guarany SC vs Esporte Limoeiro

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Limoeiro 32 / 100

Guarany SC 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Esporte Limoeiro Guarany SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guarany SC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esporte Limoeiro attacking → ← attacking Guarany SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporte Limoeiro scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Guarany SC let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Esporte Limoeiro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guarany SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 23

0.20 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Crateus	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Guarany SC	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Vila Real	6	2	2	2	5:3	8
4	Esporte Limoeiro	6	0	2	4	2:9	2