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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gabriel Morbeck
31' Event
Henrique G.
63' Event
Matheus Rodrigues

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esportivo Bento Goncalves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
30%
Draws
39%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won more games recently than Esportivo Bento Goncalves.
  • Win probability leans Brasil de Pelotas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 19%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:2
Oct 3, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:0
Aug 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa FGF
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 28 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brasil de Pelotas has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
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Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)