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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs EC Sao Jose (PA)

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves host EC Sao Jose (PA) in the Copa FGF 2025. This one's hard to separate. EC Sao Jose (PA) have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Esportivo Bento Goncalves have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Esportivo Bento Goncalves slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.05, favoring EC Sao Jose (PA). AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
20%
Draws
38%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) have won more games recently than Esportivo Bento Goncalves.
  • Win probability leans Esportivo Bento Goncalves's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 20%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Copa FGF
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:2
Feb 27, 2021 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:0
Jan 23, 2020 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1:1
Mar 16, 2014 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 42 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves EC Sao Jose (PA)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: EC Sao Jose (PA) conceded in 54% of 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pelotas751119:316
2SC Gaucho742111:314
3Brasil de Pelotas734016:413
4Esportivo Bento Goncalves733112:612
5Aimore73139:510
6EC Juventude 271245:167
7Internacional 2720510:156
8Sao Gabriel70160:30-4