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Essamaye vs Diambars de Saly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1
Essamaye Logo

Essamaye

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Diambars de Saly Logo

Diambars de Saly

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Essamaye host Diambars de Saly in the Ligue 1. This has Essamaye written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Essamaye at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Diambars de Saly at 0.93 for, 1.62 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Essamaye to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Essamaye
25%
Draws
35%
Diambars de Saly
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Essamaye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Diambars de Saly have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Essamaye are scoring more at 1.8.
  • Essamaye are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Essamaye Clean Sheet 20%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essamaye Diambars de Saly
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essamaye 85 / 100
Diambars de Saly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essamaye Diambars de Saly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essamaye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diambars de Saly has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Diambars de Saly has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Essamaye VS Diambars de Saly
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Essamaye

(Home)

Diambars de Saly

(Away)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linguere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 ASC Jaraaf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ouakam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Mbour 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 US Goree 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Diambars de Saly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 ASC HLM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Generation Foot 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Pikine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Guediawaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Teungueth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AJEL 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wally Daan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Essamaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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