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Essendon Royals vs Springvale

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Clarke D.
51' Event
Trajkoski A.
55' Event
Kotronis M.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Essendon Royals and Springvale finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Essendon Royals
15%
Draws
32%
Springvale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Essendon Royals

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Springvale haven't matched Essendon Royals's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Essendon Royals taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 12%
Springvale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Springvale
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Springvale
8:0
Feb 27, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Springvale vs Essendon Royals
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotronis M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Springvale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 65 / 100
Springvale 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Springvale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essendon Royals Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Springvale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Essendon Royals remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Springvale
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals

(Home)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Essendon Royals
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Eastern Lions
1 : 3
Essendon Royals
31 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Altona City
Page 1 of 6

Springvale

(Away)
29 Aug
Springvale
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
22 Aug
Werribee City
1 : 3
Springvale
14 Aug
Springvale
2 : 5
Malvern City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
25 Jul
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)