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Essendon Royals vs Werribee City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Appiah S.
44' Event
Clarke D.
62' Event
Norton B.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Essendon Royals and Werribee City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Essendon Royals
20%
Draws
23%
Werribee City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Essendon Royals

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Essendon Royals carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Essendon Royals's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 14%
Werribee City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Werribee City
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.44 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Werribee City
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Werribee City vs Essendon Royals
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norton B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Werribee City Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akol D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 75 / 100
Werribee City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Werribee City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essendon Royals Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Essendon Royals scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Werribee City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Essendon Royals stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Werribee City
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals

(Home)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Essendon Royals
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Eastern Lions
1 : 3
Essendon Royals
31 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Altona City
Page 1 of 6

Werribee City

(Away)
29 Aug
Malvern City
4 : 1
Werribee City
22 Aug
Werribee City
1 : 3
Springvale
15 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 0
Werribee City
01 Aug
Werribee City
4 : 0
Nunawading City
25 Jul
Moreland City
4 : 4
Werribee City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)